League Two

League Two | Gameweek 13

Oct 14, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

Meadow Lane Stadium

Notts County
1 - 4
Mansfield

Crowley (3')
McGoldrick (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Reed (24'), Cargill (70'), Flint (74'), Akins (81')
Cargill (47')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Notts County and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Mansfield Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Doncaster
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Notts County 1-1 Mansfield Town

Notts County have won every single home match they have played so far this season, but Mansfield Town remain undefeated in all competitions. Given that the Stags also have a very good defensive record, we do not expect Saturday's game to be a high-scoring affair, and it could end up finishing as a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.22%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.85%) and 0-2 (5.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Mansfield Town
34.49% ( 0.35)	23.29% ( -0.02)	42.22% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 63.67% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.19% (

0.21)

37.8% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.94% (

0.23)

60.05% (

-0.22)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

0.29)

22.01% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

0.43)

55.32% (

-0.43)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.64% (

-0.05)

18.36% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.52% (

-0.08)

49.48% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Notts County 34.49%

Mansfield Town 42.22%

Draw 23.28%

Notts County	Draw	Mansfield Town
2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 34.49%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.28%	1-2 @ 8.79% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.59% 0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.69% Total : 42.22%