League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK

Crown Oil Arena

Rochdale
2 - 1
Barrow

Kelly (18'), Quigley (75')
Diagouraga (28'), Ball (90'), O'Donnell (90+6')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Canavan (89')
Warren (85'), Canavan (90+7')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rochdale

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barrow

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Barrow 0-1 Mansfield
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rochdale are yet to win at home this season, and will be increasingly desperate to try to change that as time goes on. Nonetheless, Barrow have started the season strongly, and will be looking to get back on track here, so we are predicting a narrow, Josh Gordon-inspired victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Barrow win was 0-1 (10.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.

Result
Rochdale	Draw	Barrow
39.06% ( -0.01)	27.91%	33.02% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.73% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.81% (

-0.01)

58.18% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.16% (

-0.01)

78.83% (

Rochdale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.01% (

-0.01)

28.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12% (

-0.01)

64.87% (

0.01)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.21% (

-0.01)

32.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.65% (

-0)

69.35% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Rochdale 39.05%

Barrow 33.02%

Draw 27.91%

Rochdale	Draw	Barrow
1-0 @ 11.76% 2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 13.12% 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 10.59% 1-2 @ 7.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.02%