League Two

League Two | Gameweek 27

Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Peninsula Stadium

Salford City
2 - 2
Forest Green

Smith (4'), Watson (90+1' pen.)
Watt (21'), Garbutt (41'), Mariappa (72')
Robinson (0'), Mariappa (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

McCann (39'), Stevens (70')
Bunker (23'), Inniss (59'), Dabo (88')
Inniss (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Salford City and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salford City

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 3-0 Salford City
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Salford City 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Neither team would have expected to be facing relegation trouble at this stage of the season, but that is the reality that both sides face for the time being at least. Despite being unlikely to have a permanent manager in place for this meeting, Salford will sense an opportunity to put some distance between themselves and the bottom two. Forest Green have improved since appointing Deeney as their manager, but they appear out of sorts on the road, and we can see more pain for them in the short-term before potentially escaping relegation by the end of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 35.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (5.98%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Salford City	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
35.46% ( 0.04)	24.14% ( -0.07)	40.39% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 60.71% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.23% (

0.37)

41.76% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.83% (

0.37)

64.16% (

-0.37)

Salford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.68% (

0.19)

23.32% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.73% (

0.28)

57.26% (

-0.28)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.17% (

0.18)

20.83% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.49% (

0.28)

53.51% (

-0.27)

Score Analysis

Salford City 35.46%

Forest Green Rovers 40.4%

Draw 24.14%

Salford City	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 35.46%	1-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.14%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 40.4%