League Two

League Two | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Edgeley Park

Stockport
2 - 0
Forest Green

Olaofe (15'), Sarcevic (35')
Southam-Hales (47')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lavinier (39')
Lavinier (62')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Stockport County and Forest Green Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions

Last Game: Accrington 1-3 Stockport
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 60.48%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 17.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
60.48% ( 0.05)	21.96% ( -0.21)	17.57% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

0.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13% (

1.12)

46.88% (

-1.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87% (

1.04)

69.13% (

-1.04)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.95% (

0.39)

15.05% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.45% (

0.74)

43.55% (

-0.74)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.72% (

0.86)

40.28% (

-0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.09% (

0.77)

76.91% (

-0.77)

Score Analysis

Stockport County 60.48%

Forest Green Rovers 17.57%

Draw 21.96%

Stockport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.48% ( -0.38) 2-0 @ 10.87% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.24% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 60.48%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.96% Total : 21.96%	0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.51% 1-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.07) Other @ 2% Total : 17.57%