League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
We said: Sutton United 1-2 Mansfield Town
A new manager in the dugout can often have an immediate impact, but in this case, we believe the character and consistency of Mansfield Town will take advantage of a side that may still be reeling psychologically from what transpired last weekend.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 43.35% . A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25% .
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.19% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (7.06%) . The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
Result Sutton United Draw Mansfield Town 31.7% ( -1.04) 24.95% ( 0.2) 43.35% ( 0.84)
Both teams to score 56.69% ( -1.08)
53.49% ( -1.23) 46.51% ( 1.23)
31.21% ( -1.17) 68.79% ( 1.16)
72.19% ( -1.26) 27.8% ( 1.25)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.61% ( -1.63) 63.39% ( 1.63)
78.52% ( -0.13) 21.48% ( 0.13)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.49% ( -0.2) 54.51% ( 0.2)
Sutton United 31.7%
Mansfield Town 43.35%
Draw 24.94%
Sutton United Draw Mansfield Town 1-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.85% Total : 31.7% 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.94% 0-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.31) 1-3 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.51% Total : 43.35%
How you voted: Sutton vs Mansfield
Sutton United
Draw
Mansfield Town
9
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
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