League Two

League Two | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Racecourse Ground, Wrexham

Wrexham
3 - 5
MK Dons

Mendy (42'), Davies (82'), Forde (90+6')
Lee (23'), O'Connell (24')

FT(HT: 1-2)

O'Connell (6' og.), Eisa (10'), Leko (51', 64'), Harvie (90+4')
Eisa (11'), Norman (68'), MacGillivray (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Wrexham and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wrexham

All competitions

Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 1-5 Coventry
Tuesday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Wrexham are riding the crest of a wave at the moment, and they should be backed by a huge crowd at the Racecourse Ground in their first EFL game since 2009, while MK Dons have not performed well in pre-season. As such, we expect the hosts to kick off their first game of the season with a victory, building momentum ahead of what should be another season where they are battling for promotion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 69.03%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for MK Dons had a probability of 13.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a MK Dons win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Wrexham	Draw	MK Dons
69.03% ( 3.21)	17.33% ( -1.8)	13.65% ( -1.41)

Both teams to score 57.6% (

2.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.69% (

5.56)

33.31% (

-5.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.92% (

6.11)

55.08% (

-6.11)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.26% (

2.28)

8.74% (

-2.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.95% (

5.29)

30.04% (

-5.29)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.12% (

1.68)

36.88% (

-1.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.33% (

1.64)

73.67% (

-1.64)

Score Analysis

Wrexham 69.03%

MK Dons 13.65%

Draw 17.33%

Wrexham	Draw	MK Dons
2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.76) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( -1.52) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.52) 4-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.55) 4-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.74) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.42) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( 0.46) 5-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.46) 5-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.54) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.31) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.26) 6-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.29) Other @ 3.18% Total : 69.03%	1-1 @ 7.84% ( -1.1) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 3.22% ( -1.03) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.33%	1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.35) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.84) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.33) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.04% Total : 13.65%