Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 61.14%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-2 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
61.14% ( 0.06) | 20.76% ( -0.1) | 18.1% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.32% ( 0.56) | 40.68% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.94% ( 0.57) | 63.06% ( -0.57) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.15% ( 0.19) | 12.84% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.79% ( 0.39) | 39.2% ( -0.39) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.01% ( 0.38) | 35.99% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.23% ( 0.39) | 72.77% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lorient |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.5% Total : 61.14% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.76% | 1-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 18.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |