Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
33.49% ( -0.01) | 24.57% | 41.94% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 58.7% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( -0.01) | 44.18% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( -0.01) | 66.56% ( 0) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.43% ( -0.01) | 25.56% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.57% ( -0.01) | 60.43% ( 0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.86% ( -0) | 21.14% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.01% ( -0) | 53.99% |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 7.81% 1-0 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 5.03% 3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.49% | 1-1 @ 11.45% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.9% 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.61% 0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.66% Total : 41.94% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |