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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Monaco

Marseille
2 - 2
Monaco

Aubameyang (38'), Balerdi (50')
Soglo (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ben Yedder (7'), Akliouche (45+4')
Zakaria (75'), Kehrer (82')
Maripan (11'), Zakaria (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Marseille 2-2 Monaco

Both sides have plenty of quality attacking pieces to count upon, and with many players away for each on international duty, we expect plenty of opportunities both ways. Strikers like Aubameyang and Ben Yedder do not miss their chances often, and we believe they will each have their share of them on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMonaco
53.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 24.44% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.67% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (0.026000000000003 0.03)38.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.05% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.01700000000001 0.02)14.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (0.034999999999997 0.03)42.66% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.86%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 53.4%
    Monaco 24.44%
    Draw 22.16%
MarseilleDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.4%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Marseille vs Monaco

Marseille
39.6%
Draw
40.6%
Monaco
19.8%
106
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
3-2
Marseille
Akliouche (8', 52'), Balogun (23')
Fofana (42'), Zakaria (59'), Matazo (76'), Magassa (90+2')
Ndiaye (1'), Gigot (18')
Correa (54'), Correa (59'), Clauss (73'), Rongier (77')
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Marseille
1-1
Monaco
Sanchez (47')
Veretout (17' og.)
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Monaco
2-3
Marseille
Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
0-1
Monaco

Peres (53'), Sampaoli (82'), Kamara (90+1')
Martins (58')
Disasi (56')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Monaco
0-2
Marseille

Diop (23'), Tchouameni (49'), Aguilar (57'), Fofana (83')
Dieng (37', 60')
Sampaoli (15'), Kamara (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CParis Saint-GermainPSG342210281334876
2MonacoMonaco34207768422667
3Brest341710753341961
4Lille341611752341859
5Nice341510940291155
6Lyon34165134955-653
7Lens34149114537851
8Marseille3413111052411150
9Reims34138134247-547
10Rennes341210125346746
11Toulouse341110134246-443
12Montpellier HSCMontpellier341012124348-541
13StrasbourgStrasbourg34109153850-1239
14NantesNantes3496193055-2533
15Le HavreLe Havre34711163445-1132
16Metz3485213558-2329
17Lorient3478194366-2329
RClermont34510192660-3425


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