Eredivisie | Gameweek 32

May 5, 2024 at 3.45pm UK

AFAS Stadion

AZ
2 - 1
FC Twente

van Bommel (46'), Pavlidis (66')
van Bommel (8'), Sadiq (50'), Belic (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Steijn (5')
Propper (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions

Last Game: Nijmegen 0-3 AZ
Sunday, April 28 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: FC Twente 3-1 Almere City
Wednesday, April 24 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: AZ Alkmaar 1-2 FC Twente

AZ Alkmaar must win this match, but the fact that FC Twente can confirm a third-place finish with three points here will ensure that this is a tense match. However, the overall form and consistency of the visitors throughout this season is likely going to be the difference-maker here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 54.7%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 23.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 1-2 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.

Result
AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
54.7% ( -1.03)	21.69% ( 0.28)	23.61% ( 0.75)

Both teams to score 61.39% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.65% (

-0.46)

37.35% (

0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.43% (

-0.49)

59.57% (

0.49)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.3% (

-0.47)

13.69% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.08% (

-0.94)

40.92% (

0.93)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13% (

0.36)

28.87% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.26% (

0.45)

64.73% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

AZ Alkmaar 54.7%

FC Twente 23.61%

Draw 21.69%

AZ Alkmaar	Draw	FC Twente
2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.81% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.16) 3-2 @ 4% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 2.57% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.7%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.69%	1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.31% Total : 23.61%