Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 27

Mar 30, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
2 - 1
Hoffenheim

Andrich (88'), Schick (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Beier (33')
Drexler (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, March 17 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 0-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, March 16 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-1 Hoffenheim

Still, with the ninth month of the season approaching, nobody has been able to get the better of Leverkusen, and in match number 39 of the season, another win is expected from the champions-elect. With just one win in their last nine away, and 22 games without a clean sheet, Hoffenheim are unlikely to end Leverkusen's excellent run, but they may give the league leaders a scare or two at the back. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 83.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 5.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 4-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
83.74%	10.48% ( 0)	5.77%

Both teams to score 51.65% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.5% (

-0)

24.5% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.74% (

-0)

44.26% (

0.01)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.83% (

4.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.6% (

-0)

17.39% (

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.89% (

46.1% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.19%

81.8% (

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 83.74%

Hoffenheim 5.77%

Draw 10.48%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Hoffenheim
3-0 @ 10.27% 2-0 @ 9.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 7.51% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6.32% 1-0 @ 6.1% ( 0) 5-0 @ 5.19% 5-1 @ 4.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.08% 6-0 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.45% 6-1 @ 2.13% 5-2 @ 1.56% 7-0 @ 1.25% 7-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 4.31% Total : 83.74%	1-1 @ 4.72% ( 0) 2-2 @ 2.91% 0-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 10.48%	1-2 @ 1.83% 0-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.46% Total : 5.77%