Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 11, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

PreZero Arena

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
FC Koln

Kramaric (90+4')
Bebou (32'), Stach (78'), Grillitsch (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Finkgrafe (79')
Schmitz (55'), Maina (76'), Chabot (76'), Finkgrafe (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 2-0 Frankfurt
Saturday, February 3 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hoffenheim 1-1 FC Koln

As already mentioned, Hoffenheim tend to score and concede in almost every match they take part in, and we do not expect any different on Sunday. The visitors should be confident after returning to winning ways last weekend, and they could move out of the bottom three with a victory here. However, we can envisage the two sides playing out a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	FC Koln
50.7% ( 0.61)	22.83% ( 0.04)	26.46% ( -0.65)

Both teams to score 60.44% (

-0.76)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60% (

-0.74)

40% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

-0.77)

62.36% (

0.77)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05% (

-0.06)

15.95% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.78% (

-0.1)

45.22% (

0.1)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.9% (

-0.86)

28.1% (

0.86)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.23% (

-1.1)

63.77% (

1.1)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 50.7%

FC Koln 26.46%

Draw 22.83%

Hoffenheim	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.7%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.83%	1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.63% Total : 26.46%