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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.15%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
71.15% ( -0) | 15.81% ( 0) | 13.03% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.07% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.93% ( 0) | 27.06% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.43% ( 0) | 47.57% ( -0) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.23% ( 0) | 6.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.01% ( 0) | 24.99% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% ( 0) | 33.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.95% ( 0) | 70.05% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
2-1 @ 8.99% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 8.07% 3-0 @ 7.36% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.09% 4-1 @ 5.43% 4-0 @ 4.96% 3-2 @ 4.42% 4-2 @ 2.98% 5-1 @ 2.93% 5-0 @ 2.67% 5-2 @ 1.6% 6-1 @ 1.31% 6-0 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 3.85% Total : 71.15% | 1-1 @ 6.68% 2-2 @ 4.93% 0-0 @ 2.26% 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 15.81% | 1-2 @ 3.66% 0-1 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.4% Total : 13.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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