Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 28

Apr 15, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Pavard (17')
Pavard (57'), Upamecano (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kramaric (71')
Akpoguma (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Man City 3-0 Bayern
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Schalke
Sunday, April 9 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 Hoffenheim

Bayern must wish they were instead facing Hoffenheim this time last month, when their forthcoming opponents had collected only two points from 14 matches, stretching back to a 2-0 defeat to the Bavarians in October. However, while Matarazzo's side's improved form undoubtedly makes them tricky opposition, Tuchel's side should possess more than enough quality to keep them at arm's length for the most part and remain top of the table with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 79.51%. A draw had a probability of 12.6% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.54%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.66%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (2.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Hoffenheim
79.51% ( -0.01)	12.62% ( 0.01)	7.86% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 54.33% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.95% (

-0.01)

27.05% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.44% (

-0.01)

47.55% (

0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.7% (

-0.01)

5.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.13% (

-0.01)

20.87% (

0.01)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.37% (

0.01)

42.63% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.02% (

0.01)

78.97% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 79.51%

Hoffenheim 7.86%

Draw 12.62%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-0 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 9.54% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.14% 4-0 @ 7.01% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 5-0 @ 4.12% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.51% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.55% 6-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.72% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.5% Other @ 5.28% Total : 79.51%	1-1 @ 5.66% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.54% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.17% Total : 12.62%	1-2 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 7.86%