Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 20, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
1 - 3
RB Leipzig

Gnabry (25')
Pavard (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Laimer (64'), Nkunku (76' pen.), Szoboszlai (86' pen.)
Gvardiol (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 6-0 Schalke
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, May 14 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 RB Leipzig

All but ending the closest Bundesliga title race in 13 years, Bayern are set to sweep aside Leipzig; leaving the pressure piled on Dortmund. At their fluent best against Schalke, the champions may be stepping up in class this week, but such are their attacking riches they can tame the Red Bulls once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.88%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 16.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a RB Leipzig win it was 1-2 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
66.88% ( -0.3)	16.77% ( 0.12)	16.34% ( 0.18)

Both teams to score 67.5% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.72% (

-0.27)

24.28% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.03% (

-0.36)

43.96% (

0.36)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.13% (

-0.13)

6.87% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.73% (

-0.34)

25.26% (

0.34)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.48% (

-0)

27.52% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.97% (

-0)

63.02% (

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 66.88%

RB Leipzig 16.34%

Draw 16.77%

Bayern Munich	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.3% Total : 66.88%	1-1 @ 6.53% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.54% Total : 16.77%	1-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.87% Total : 16.34%