Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK

Signal-Iduna-Park

Dortmund
1 - 1
PSG

Adeyemi (51')
Hummels (57')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Zaire-Emery (56')
Marquinhos (45')

Warren Zaire-Emery breaks Champions League goalscoring record in Dortmund draw

Paris Saint-Germain protege Warren Zaire-Emery breaks a Champions League goalscoring record in his side's 1-1 draw with Borussia Dortmund in Group F.

Dec 14, 08:22

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, December 9 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: PSG 2-1 Nantes
Saturday, December 9 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Dortmund 1-2 Paris Saint-Germain

Clean sheet-less away from home in the Champions League for over three years, PSG will likely have to fight fire with fire once again if they are to keep their dreams of a first top-level European crown alive, but Enrique has the resources at his disposal to do so. While PSG could take a leaf out of Dortmund's defensive playbook in Group H, the hosts' recent domestic plight and plethora of absentees has us siding with Les Parisiens to ensure a path to the last 16, with a first-placed finish to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 2-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
32.83% ( -1.09)	20.93% ( 0.07)	46.25% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 72.25% (

-0.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.57% (

-0.77)

26.43% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.24% (

-1)

46.76% (

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.5% (

-0.87)

17.49% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52% (

-1.54)

48% (

1.54)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

0.03)

12.42% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.66% (

0.05)

38.34% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 32.83%

Paris Saint-Germain 46.25%

Draw 20.93%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) 4-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.93% Total : 32.83%	1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.93%	1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.22) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.09) 3-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) 2-5 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.59% Total : 46.25%