Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38

May 18, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
1 - 1
Kilmarnock

McCowan (37')
Main (72')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mackay-Steven (24')
Wright (49'), Deas (76')
Deas (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Rangers 5-2 Dundee
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-5 Celtic
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock

There has been nothing to separate these two teams when they have butted heads in the league this season, but there has been plenty of goalmouth action and another entertaining contest could be in store on Saturday, with both sides sharing the spoils once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 45.13%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Kilmarnock
29.86% ( 0.32)	25.01% ( 0.44)	45.13% ( -0.76)

Both teams to score 55.57% (

-1.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.44% (

-1.77)

47.56% (

1.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.23% (

-1.66)

69.76% (

1.66)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

-0.68)

29.56% (

0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41% (

-0.83)

65.58% (

0.83)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.89% (

-1.06)

21.11% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.06% (

-1.67)

53.94% (

1.67)

Score Analysis

Dundee 29.86%

Kilmarnock 45.13%

Draw 25%

Dundee	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.21% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.33% Total : 29.86%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.45) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 7.55% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.77% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) 2-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.13%