Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Final | 1st Leg

May 20, 2021 at 8.15pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
2 - 1
Kilmarnock

(Dundee win 4-2 on aggregate)

McGhee (6'), Adam (47')
Sow (86'), Byrne (87'), Adam (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Haunstrup (77')
Millen (41'), Burke (49'), Broadfoot (54')

Tommy Wright delighted with "massive goal"

Dundee won the first leg 2-1 but Brandon Haunstrup's goal has given Kilmarnock a major boost.

May 20, 23:16

The Match

Match Report

The Championship runners-up earned a 2-1 home victory on Thursday night

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Dundee and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 40.43%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundee would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	Kilmarnock
40.43%	27.46%	32.11%

Both teams to score 48.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.31%

56.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35%

77.65%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51%

27.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01%

62.99%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.35%

32.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.8%

69.2%

Score Analysis

Dundee 40.43%

Kilmarnock 32.1%

Draw 27.46%

Dundee	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.59% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.48% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.16% 4-0 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.43%	1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 8.98% 2-2 @ 4.69% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.46%	0-1 @ 10.04% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 2.71% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.75% Other @ 2.62% Total : 32.1%