Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 5

Sep 24, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Commerzbank-Arena

Frankfurt
0 - 0
Freiburg

Ebimbe (45+2'), Pacho (52'), Koch (86'), Trapp (86')

Ginter (33'), Eggestein (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 2-1 Aberdeen
Thursday, September 21 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Olympiacos 2-3 Freiburg
Thursday, September 21 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Freiburg

Frankfurt have been draw specialists so far this season, recording four 1-1 draws already in all competitions, and even though Freiburg are yet to draw this season, a close encounter is in store. Despite low-scoring starts for the two sides, both teams have scored in the last seven meetings here in Frankfurt - resulting in 25 goals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Freiburg
54.24% ( 0.52)	23.91% ( -0.06)	21.84% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 51.55% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.71% (

-0.25)

49.29% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.65% (

-0.22)

71.34% (

0.22)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

0.1)

18.07% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.01% (

0.18)

48.99% (

-0.18)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.92% (

-0.59)

37.07% (

0.58)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.13% (

-0.59)

73.86% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Eintracht Frankfurt 54.24%

Freiburg 21.84%

Draw 23.91%

Eintracht Frankfurt	Draw	Freiburg
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 54.24%	1-1 @ 11.37% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.91%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.84%