Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2024 at 6pm UK

Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Marques (69' pen.)
Marques (45+3')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Mendes (8'), Silva (22'), Oliveira (42')
Ribeiro (28'), Silva (55'), Charles (87'), Andre (90+5'), Handel (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 3-3 Estoril
Sunday, February 25 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 24 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Estoril Praia 1-3 Vitoria de Guimaraes

Looking at past results between Estoril and Vitoria de Guimaraes, we anticipate a thrilling contest at the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota this weekend. While we expect both sides to go all out in search of maximum points, we are backing Pacheco's men to extend their dominance over the hosts and claim the desired result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 30.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
30.82% ( -0.05)	25.73% ( 0.02)	43.45% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.79% (

-0.09)

50.21% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.83% (

-0.08)

72.17% (

0.08)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.76% (

-0.08)

30.24% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6% (

-0.09)

66.4% (

0.09)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.99% (

-0.02)

23.01% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.19% (

-0.03)

56.81% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 30.82%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 43.45%

Draw 25.72%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 30.82%	1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 10.22% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.98% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.35% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 43.45%