Home > Football > Eredivisie
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 66.58%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Ajax had a probability of 15.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.97%) and 3-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.41%), while for an Ajax win it was 1-2 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
Result | ||
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
66.58% ( -0.31) | 17.5% ( 0.24) | 15.92% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 63.29% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.07% ( -1.07) | 28.93% ( 1.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.11% ( -1.33) | 49.89% ( 1.33) |
Feyenoord Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.87% ( -0.34) | 8.13% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.47% ( -0.87) | 28.53% ( 0.87) |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.89% ( -0.63) | 31.11% ( 0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.56% ( -0.75) | 67.44% ( 0.75) |
Score Analysis |
Feyenoord | Draw | Ajax |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.29) 4-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 4-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) 6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.96% Total : 66.58% | 1-1 @ 7.41% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.37% Total : 17.5% | 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 15.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |