Europa Conference League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
May 2, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina3 - 2Brugge
The Match
Match Report
M'Bala Nzola's 91st-minute winner secures a 3-2 first-leg lead for Fiorentina over Club Brugge in the first leg of their Europa Conference League semi-final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, April 28 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Goals
for
for
50
Last Game: Genk 0-3 Brugge
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Goals
for
for
78
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.07%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Club Brugge |
48.7% ( -0) | 24.25% | 27.06% |
| Both teams to score 56.12% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
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