MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 19:52:49| >> :600:515098:515098:
Club Brugge
Europa Conference League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Molde logo

Brugge
3 - 0
Molde

Skov Olsen (45+1', 48'), Skoras (70')
De Cuyper (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Club Brugge and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brugge 3-1 Leuven
Sunday, March 10 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Molde 2-1 Brugge
Thursday, March 7 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Club Brugge 2-0 Molde (Club Brugge win 3-2 on aggregate)

Molde battled hard to gain the edge in their home leg last week, and Club Brugge are certainly wounded by several injuries in important places, but the hosts still possess plenty of quality, and we can only envisage them being too strong for the Norwegian outfit on Thursday and overturning the tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 65.64%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Molde had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.29%), while for a Molde win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.

Result
Club BruggeDrawMolde
65.64% (0.032000000000011 0.03) 18.46% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02) 15.9% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.34% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.16% (0.058000000000007 0.06)33.84% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32% (0.066000000000003 0.07)55.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.34% (0.021999999999991 0.02)9.66% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.77% (0.052999999999997 0.05)32.23% (-0.055 -0.05)
Molde Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69% (0.021000000000001 0.02)34.32% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (0.020000000000003 0.02)71.02% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Club Brugge 65.64%
    Molde 15.9%
    Draw 18.46%
Club BruggeDrawMolde
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.05% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.015999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 7.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 4.41% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.12% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 1.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.54%
Total : 65.64%
1-1 @ 8.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.18%
0-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 18.46%
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 15.9%

How you voted: Brugge vs Molde

Club Brugge
61.5%
Draw
23.1%
Molde
15.4%
130
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Molde
2-1
Brugge
Stenevik (43'), Gulbrandsen (90+2')
Hagelskjaer (79')
De Cuyper (85' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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