Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 50.84%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
50.84% ( -0.05) | 24.08% | 25.08% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.82% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.21% ( 0.04) | 46.79% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.95% ( 0.04) | 69.05% ( -0.04) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.57% ( -0.01) | 18.43% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.41% ( -0) | 49.59% ( 0) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( 0.06) | 32.79% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( 0.07) | 69.35% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Fiorentina | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 50.83% | 1-1 @ 11.39% 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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