Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 38

May 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
2 - 0
Juventus

Duncan (45+1'), Gonzalez (90+2' pen.)
Julio (44'), Venuti (56'), Amrabat (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kean (44'), Rabiot (56'), de Ligt (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Roma	38	16	63
7	Fiorentina	38	8	62
8	Atalanta BC	38	17	59

Juventus

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Napoli	38	43	79
4	Juventus	38	20	70
5	Lazio	38	19	64

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus

Fiorentina can end their losing streak against Juventus by taking a point from Saturday's Serie A finale, but that may not be enough to secure European football - their fate depending on what transpires elsewhere. A season of toil and trouble for Juve finally comes to an end, and they may not be entirely focused on football matters this week, ahead of further upheaval at the club. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.25%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Juventus
39.05% ( 0.71)	25.2% ( 0.4)	35.75% ( -1.11)

Both teams to score 56.96% (

-1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.35% (

-1.93)

46.65% (

1.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.09% (

-1.83)

68.91% (

1.83)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.37% (

-0.5)

23.63% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.29% (

-0.72)

57.71% (

0.72)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58% (

-1.5)

25.42% (

1.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.77% (

-2.1)

60.23% (

2.1)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 39.05%

Juventus 35.75%

Draw 25.19%

Fiorentina	Draw	Juventus
1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.05% Total : 39.05%	1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.2) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.19%	0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.75%