Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Juventus Stadium

Juventus
2 - 2
Lazio

Vlahovic (10'), Morata (36')
Bernardeschi (45+2'), Cuadrado (68'), Ake (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Sandro (51' og.), Milinkovic-Savic (90+6')
Acerbi (41'), Milinkovic-Savic (83'), Patric (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Juventus

Last Six:

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-0 Juventus
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Napoli	38	43	79
4	Juventus	38	20	70
5	Lazio	38	19	64

Lazio

Last Six:

Last Game: Lazio 3-3 Hellas Verona
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Juventus	38	20	70
5	Lazio	38	19	64
6	Roma	38	16	63

Should they lose to Lazio, this will be just the second Serie A season in which Juventus have taken fewer points on home soil than when playing away, which demonstrates their faded aura of invincibility in Turin. The visitors - second-top scorers in Serie A this term - should have little fear of failure, given the state they find their opponents in, but are too defensively flaky to guarantee any more than a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 25.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Juventus	Draw	Lazio
49.39% ( -0.15)	25.11% ( -0.01)	25.49% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 51.97% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.24% (

0.17)

50.76% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.35% (

0.15)

72.65% (

-0.15)

Juventus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.43% (

0.01)

20.57% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.91% (

0.01)

53.09% (

-0.01)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42% (

0.23)

34.58% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7% (

0.24)

71.3% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Juventus 49.39%

Lazio 25.49%

Draw 25.11%

Juventus	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 11.24% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 49.39%	1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.55% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.49%