Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals

Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis

Greece
5 - 0
Kazakhstan

Bakasetas (9' pen.), Pelkas (15'), Ioannidis (37'), Kourbelis (40'), Tapalov (86' og.)
Hatzidiakos (30')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Vorogovskiy (17'), Sadybekov (54'), Orazov (67'), Erlanov (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Greece and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Greece 2-2 France
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Kazakhstan

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	10	11	22
2	Denmark	10	9	22
3	Finland	10	8	18
4	Kazakhstan	10	4	18
5	Northern Ireland	10	-4	9
6	San Marino	10	-28	0

We said: Greece 2-1 Kazakhstan

Despite being bereft of any household names, Kazakhstan have thrown down the gauntlet to many of their continental foes in recent months and will receive a timely boost with the return of leading scorer Zaynutdinov. Thursday's game should not be a totally comfortable affair for Greece, whose defence is unlikely to emerge unscathed, but we still expect Poyet's men to march on to next week's playoff final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 72.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 3-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
Greece	Draw	Kazakhstan
72.66% ( 0.72)	17.73% ( -0.32)	9.61% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 42.19% (

-0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.62% (

0.21)

46.38% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.34% (

0.2)

68.67% (

-0.2)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.67% (

0.25)

11.33% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64% (

0.55)

36% (

-0.55)

Kazakhstan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.58% (

-0.69)

52.42% (

0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.72% (

-0.45)

86.28% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Greece 72.65%

Kazakhstan 9.62%

Draw 17.73%

Greece	Draw	Kazakhstan
2-0 @ 14.08% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.27% Total : 72.65%	1-1 @ 8.35% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.5% Total : 17.73%	0-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.84% Total : 9.62%