Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 8

Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK

Tynecastle Park

Hearts
2 - 2
Hibernian

Forrest (28'), Doidge (58' og.)
Shankland (5'), Devlin (8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Youan (66', 68')
Fish (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hearts

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Ross County 0-1 Hearts
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hibernian

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hibernian 0-0 Dundee
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

There is very little to split these two teams in terms of the performances that they have delivered this season which should lead to a close encounter. Both teams will believe that they can get a result, but that could lead to them holding out for a draw for derby day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 33.44% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
41.53% ( -0.01)	25.04% ( 0.01)	33.44% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.04% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.66% (

-0.04)

46.34% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.37% (

-0.04)

68.62% (

0.03)

Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

-0.02)

22.26% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.3% (

-0.03)

55.7% (

0.03)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

-0.02)

26.63% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

-0.02)

61.86% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Hearts 41.53%

Hibernian 33.44%

Draw 25.03%

Hearts	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 41.53%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.8% 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.44%