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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
Hibs logo

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Hibernian

Vassell (61'), Wright (79')
Vassell (45+2'), Lyons (50'), Armstrong (68'), Deas (81'), Magennis (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dennis (8' og.), Vente (59')
Miller (24'), Fish (54'), Boyle (89'), Obita (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Ross County
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 0-2 Hibernian
Sunday, September 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-1 Hibernian

The Hibernian players will be eager to impress their new manager, but the visitors may have to settle for a draw as Kilmarnock aim to kick-start their campaign on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
42.2% (0.052 0.05) 26.05% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02) 31.74% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.07% (0.047999999999995 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.78% (0.065000000000005 0.07)51.22% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.94% (0.055 0.05)73.06% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (0.056999999999988 0.06)24.06% (-0.052 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (0.079000000000001 0.08)58.33% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.88% (0.013999999999996 0.01)30.11% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.74% (0.012 0.01)66.26% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 42.2%
    Hibernian 31.75%
    Draw 26.04%
KilmarnockDrawHibernian
1-0 @ 10.32% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.83% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.19% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.49% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.24% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 42.2%
1-1 @ 12.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.04%
0-1 @ 8.7% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.22% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.97% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.09% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.75%

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs Hibernian

Kilmarnock
34.4%
Draw
40.6%
Hibernian
25.0%
32
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hibernian
2-0
Kilmarnock
Fish (16'), Hoppe (47')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Kilmarnock
1-0
Hibernian
Armstrong (53' pen.)
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hibernian
1-0
Kilmarnock
Newell (12')
Boyle (74'), Porteous (77')

Power (18'), Lafferty (77'), McKenzie (90+1')
Taylor (10')
Aug 15, 2021 2pm
Second Round
Hibernian
2-0
Kilmarnock
Magennis (51'), Nisbet (73')

McKenzie (45')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Hibernian
2-0
Kilmarnock
Power (52' og.), Gogic (80')

Power (79')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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