FA Cup

FA Cup | Fourth Round

Jan 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Portman Road Stadium

Ipswich
1 - 2
Maidstone

Sarmiento (56')
Edmundson (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Reynolds (43'), Corne (66')
Ezennolim (43'), Hoyte (58')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion and Luton Town both progress to the fifth round of the FA Cup after Maidstone United pull off a monumental upset at Ipswich Town's Portman Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Ipswich Town and Maidstone United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ipswich Town

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Leicester 1-1 Ipswich
Monday, January 22 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Maidstone United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Maidstone 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, January 23 at 7.45pm in National League South

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 75.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 9.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.69%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-2 (2.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Ipswich Town	Draw	Maidstone United
75.81% ( -0.1)	14.6% ( 0.06)	9.59% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.88% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.74% (

-0.19)

31.25% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.31% (

-0.22)

52.69% (

0.22)

Ipswich Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.15% (

-0.06)

6.85% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.79% (

-0.16)

25.2% (

0.16)

Maidstone United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.84% (

-0.06)

42.15% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.43% (

-0.05)

78.57% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Ipswich Town 75.8%

Maidstone United 9.59%

Draw 14.6%

Ipswich Town	Draw	Maidstone United
2-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.88% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.85% Total : 75.8%	1-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 14.6%	1-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 2.49% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 9.59%