FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Gallagher Stadium

Maidstone
1 - 0
Stevenage

Corne (45+2' pen.)
Bone (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sweeney (14'), Thompson (42'), Freeman (48'), Piergianni (78')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Maidstone United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Maidstone United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Tonbridge Angels
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South

Goals
for

Stevenage

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-1 Stevenage
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Maidstone United 1-2 Stevenage

Maidstone's form in this season's FA Cup has been excellent, but this will be their biggest test of the campaign, and although we are predicting a close match, Stevenage should be able to navigate their way into the fourth round of the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Maidstone United had a probability of 20.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.34%) and 1-2 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a Maidstone United win it was 1-0 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Maidstone United	Draw	Stevenage
20.99% ( -0.01)	24.36% ( -0)	54.64% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.06% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98% (

-0)

52.01% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.25% (

-0.01)

73.75% (

0.01)

Maidstone United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.53% (

-0.01)

39.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.84% (

-0.01)

76.16% (

0.01)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.05% (

18.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.53% (

50.46% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Maidstone United 20.99%

Stevenage 54.63%

Draw 24.36%

Maidstone United	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 6.95% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.99%	1-1 @ 11.56% 0-0 @ 7.48% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.36%	0-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-3 @ 5.74% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.33% 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.22% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.63%