FA Cup

FA Cup | Second Round Replays

Dec 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 3
Stevenage

Garrity (6', 55'), Loft (114')
Iacovitti (69'), Ripley (90'), Garrity (106')

FT
(aet)

White (81'), Hemmings (90+6'), Thompson (119')
Thompson (50'), Thompson (50')

Stevenage win 4-3 on penalties

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's FA Cup clash between Port Vale and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Exeter 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We say: Port Vale 1-2 Stevenage

Stevenage will be in a confident mood after extending their unbeaten run at the weekend, and we think that they will follow up Saturday's narrow victory with another away win in Tuesday's cup tie. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 38.31%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%).

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Stevenage
34.13% ( 0)	27.56% ( 0)	38.31% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.01% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.31% (

-0.01)

56.69% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.35% (

-0)

77.65% (

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.72% (

-0)

31.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.37% (

-0)

67.63% (

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.31% (

-0)

28.69% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.48% (

-0.01)

64.51% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 34.13%

Stevenage 38.31%

Draw 27.55%

Port Vale	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.57% 2-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.35% 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) Other @ 2.96% Total : 34.13%	1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.73% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.55%	0-1 @ 11.2% 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.38% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.31%