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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Derby County |
30.62% ( 0.81) | 26.5% ( 0.31) | 42.89% ( -1.12) |
Both teams to score 51.2% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.58% ( -0.9) | 53.42% ( 0.91) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.05% ( -0.77) | 74.95% ( 0.78) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.99% ( 0.12) | 32.01% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.52% ( 0.14) | 68.48% ( -0.13) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.31% ( -0.95) | 24.69% ( 0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.78% ( -1.35) | 59.23% ( 1.36) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.72% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.62% | 1-1 @ 12.59% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 11.05% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.54% Total : 42.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |