EFL Cup

EFL Cup | Round of 16

Oct 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
0 - 1
Port Vale

Flint (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Devine (50')
Smith (66'), Thomas (87')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Mansfield Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Walsall
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

EFL Cup

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Cheltenham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Port Vale

As injuries continue to decimate an out-of-sorts Port Vale squad, Crosby's side - whose run to the last 16 must still be applauded - may very well be on the wrong end of another EFL Cup upset this week. Mansfield are hardly in tip-top shape when it comes to squad fitness either, but the Stags are showing no sign of slowing down anytime soon and can avenge last year's Wembley beating to enter the quarter-final draw for the first time ever. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.52%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Port Vale
58.73% ( -0.21)	22.2% ( 0.08)	19.07% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 52.72% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.38% (

-0.18)

45.62% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.06% (

-0.17)

67.94% (

0.17)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8% (

-0.13)

15.2% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.17% (

-0.24)

43.83% (

0.24)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.17% (

0.03)

37.83% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.39% (

0.03)

74.61% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 58.72%

Port Vale 19.07%

Draw 22.19%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 58.72%	1-1 @ 10.52% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.19%	0-1 @ 5.59% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.07%