EFL Cup

EFL Cup | First Round

Aug 8, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

One Call Stadium

Mansfield
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Akins (28' pen.), Oates (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cartwright (27'), Green (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Mansfield Town and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions

Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Mansfield
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Grimsby Town
42.64% ( 0)	24.94% ( 0)	32.42% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.03% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.8% (

-0)

46.2% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.51% (

-0)

68.49% (

0.01)

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.33%

21.67% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.19%

54.81% (

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.81% (

-0)

27.19% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.4% (

-0.01)

62.6% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 42.64%

Grimsby Town 32.42%

Draw 24.93%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.97% 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.98% 4-1 @ 1.75% 4-0 @ 1.34% 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 42.64%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93%	0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5% 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.01% Total : 32.42%