League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 1
Port Vale

Shodipo (90+3')
O'Connor (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Garrity (34')
Arblaster (26'), Garrity (69')
Arblaster (47')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Notts County
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wrexham 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, November 7 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Port Vale

With Port Vale winless in four away league games, the visitors will be desperate to claim all three points on Saturday, but we think that they will have to settle for a point against a Lincoln side that are unbeaten in the last four head-to-head home meetings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Port Vale
42.58%	26.59%	30.83%

Both teams to score 50.98% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.26% (

53.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.78% (

75.22%

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.01% (

24.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.36%

59.64%

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.97% (

32.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.5% (

68.5%

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 42.58%

Port Vale 30.83%

Draw 26.59%

Lincoln City	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.1% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 7.7% 3-1 @ 4.05% 3-0 @ 3.56% 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.47% Total : 42.58%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8% 2-2 @ 4.99% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.59%	0-1 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.19% 1-3 @ 2.73% 0-3 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.89% Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.83%