Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 37

May 28, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
3 - 2
Cremonese

Hysaj (4'), Milinkovic-Savic (37', 89')
Zaccagni (72'), Pellegrini (81')
Sarri (90+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Galdames (54'), Lazzari (58' og.)
Sernicola (24'), Galdames (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Cremonese 1-5 Bologna
Saturday, May 20 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio can play with a certain amount of freedom considering their Champions League spot is already sealed, and a wounded Cremonese side are unlikely to pose any problems for the hosts. Cremonese will be starved of matches at historic grounds such as Stadio Olimpico when they ply their trade in Serie B next season - the Gray and Reds will probably not be too fond of their trip to Rome at the full-time whistle, however. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 70.02%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 10.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.42%) and 3-0 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.97%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Cremonese
70.02% ( 0.47)	19.09% ( 0.02)	10.89% ( -0.49)

Both teams to score 42.55% (

-1.68)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.44% (

-1.36)

48.56% (

1.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.32% (

-1.25)

70.68% (

1.25)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.31% (

-0.27)

12.68% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.12% (

-0.56)

38.88% (

0.56)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.74% (

-1.77)

51.26% (

1.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.48% (

-1.21)

85.52% (

1.21)

Score Analysis

Lazio 70.01%

Cremonese 10.89%

Draw 19.09%

Lazio	Draw	Cremonese
2-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 13.42% ( 0.6) 3-0 @ 9.54% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.17) 5-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.36% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.72% Total : 70.01%	1-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.09%	0-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.1% Total : 10.89%