Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 36

May 20, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stadio Giovanni Zini

Cremonese
1 - 5
Bologna

Ciofani (90+1')
Buonaiuto (86')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Arnautovic (14'), Ferguson (27'), Posch (45+1'), Orsolini (62'), Sansone (80')
Orsolini (29')
Orsolini (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Bologna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Cremonese
Sunday, May 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bologna

All competitions

Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Roma
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Cremonese 1-0 Bologna

With safety long secured and Europe effectively out of reach, Bologna could find themselves ambling towards the campaign's conclusion - by contrast, Cremonese are in a win-or-bust situation. With their backs to the wall, the hosts can eke out just a fifth league win of the season - though that may not be enough to keep them afloat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Bologna
33.07% ( 0.04)	25.97% ( 0.04)	40.96% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 53.78% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.49% (

-0.15)

50.5% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.57% (

-0.13)

72.43% (

0.14)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.11% (

-0.05)

28.89% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.24% (

-0.06)

64.76% (

0.06)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

-0.1)

24.37% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.22% (

-0.15)

58.78% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 33.07%

Bologna 40.96%

Draw 25.97%

Cremonese	Draw	Bologna
1-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.07%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.97%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.02% 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.73% Total : 40.96%