Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.49%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 1-0 (12.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Roma |
32.45% ( -0.25) | 29.71% ( 0.03) | 37.84% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 42.67% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.64% ( -0.13) | 64.36% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.56% ( -0.09) | 83.44% ( 0.09) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.52% ( -0.26) | 36.48% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.73% ( -0.26) | 73.26% ( 0.26) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.17% ( 0.07) | 32.83% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.61% ( 0.08) | 69.39% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 12.07% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.91% Total : 32.45% | 1-1 @ 13.45% 0-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.7% | 0-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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