Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 36.52%. A win for Monza had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Roma |
36.07% ( 1.08) | 27.41% ( 0.4) | 36.52% ( -1.48) |
Both teams to score 49.6% ( -1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.98% ( -1.53) | 56.02% ( 1.53) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.9% ( -1.26) | 77.1% ( 1.26) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.29% ( -0.08) | 29.71% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.23% ( -0.1) | 65.77% ( 0.1) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.57% ( -1.61) | 29.43% ( 1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.57% ( -2.02) | 65.43% ( 2.02) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 10.61% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.06% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.49% Total : 36.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |