Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 28

Apr 2, 2023 at 2pm UK

U-Power Stadium

Monza
0 - 2
Lazio

Ciurria (47'), Caprari (48'), Santos (51'), Donati (55'), Sensi (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Pedro (13'), Milinkovic-Savic (56')
Zaccagni (59'), Anderson (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Monza and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monza

All competitions

Last Game: Monza 1-1 Cremonese
Saturday, March 18 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Roma
Sunday, March 19 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Though their rhythm has been interrupted by the international break, Lazio can resume normal service on Sunday afternoon and beat Monza for a second time this season. With Immobile back in the fold, and boasting several other goal threats beside their skipper, Sarri's men should edge out their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 35.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Lazio win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Monza	Draw	Lazio
37.24%	26.91%	35.85%

Both teams to score 51.19%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.98%

54.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55%

75.45%

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.96%

28.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.31%

63.69%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.13%

28.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.27%

64.73%

Score Analysis

Monza 37.24%

Lazio 35.84%

Draw 26.9%

Monza	Draw	Lazio
1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 3.45% 3-0 @ 2.77% 3-2 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.24%	1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.09% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 10.05% 1-2 @ 7.94% 0-2 @ 6.25% 1-3 @ 3.29% 0-3 @ 2.59% 2-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.84%