Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 14

Nov 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 0
Monza

Romero (69')
Casale (63'), Marusic (75')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Donati (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 0-1 Lazio
Sunday, November 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monza

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Monza 2-0 Hellas Verona
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

After their aberration against Salernitana, in-form Lazio got back on the winning trail in the best possible manner at the weekend, and after toppling bitter rivals Roma they can claim three points again on Thursday. Monza certainly present a threat and stand a good chance of breaching the Aquile's strong defence, but they are nonetheless set to return from the capital empty-handed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.17%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Monza had a probability of 19.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Monza
58.17% ( -0.02)	21.88% ( 0.03)	19.95% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.29% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.07% (

-0.14)

42.93% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.67% (

-0.13)

65.33% (

0.13)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52% (

-0.06)

14.47% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.55% (

-0.1)

42.45% (

0.1)

Monza Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.65% (

-0.08)

35.35% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.89% (

-0.09)

72.1% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Lazio 58.17%

Monza 19.95%

Draw 21.88%

Lazio	Draw	Monza
2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.89% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 58.17%	1-1 @ 10.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.88%	1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 19.95%