Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.85%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (11.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Inter Milan |
32.25% ( 0.4) | 28.88% ( -0.37) | 38.88% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 44.85% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.32% ( 1.3) | 61.68% ( -1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.5% ( 0.95) | 81.5% ( -0.95) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.82% ( 0.99) | 35.18% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.07% ( 1.03) | 71.93% ( -1.03) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.18% ( 0.64) | 30.81% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.91% ( 0.74) | 67.09% ( -0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 11.32% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.13% Total : 32.24% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.4) 1-2 @ 7.85% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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