Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Jan 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

San Siro

Inter Milan
2 - 1
Lazio

Bastoni (30'), Skriniar (67')
Vidal (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Immobile (35')
Felipe (40'), Basic (54'), Radu (71'), Zaccagni (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lazio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Lazio

Free-scoring Inter are strong favourites to belatedly start 2022 in familiar style, as withstanding their attacking width and midfield guile should prove beyond leaky Lazio's capabilities. Unbeaten in their 11 league fixtures since losing the reverse fixture nearly three months ago, the champions can brush off any early rustiness and continue their positive momentum as if they were never away. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.71%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
71.71%	17.13%	11.16%

Both teams to score 50.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.92%

39.08%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.59%

61.4%

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.39%

9.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.88%

32.12%

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.34%

44.65%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.34%

80.66%

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 71.71%

Lazio 11.16%

Draw 17.13%

Inter Milan	Draw	Lazio
2-0 @ 11.77% 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 9.19% 3-1 @ 7.41% 4-0 @ 5.38% 4-1 @ 4.34% 3-2 @ 2.99% 5-0 @ 2.52% 5-1 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.75% 6-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.78% Total : 71.71%	1-1 @ 8.1% 0-0 @ 4.29% 2-2 @ 3.83% Other @ 0.91% Total : 17.13%	0-1 @ 3.46% 1-2 @ 3.27% 0-2 @ 1.4% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.01% Total : 11.16%