Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 86.54%. A draw had a probability of 9.5% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 3.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.42%) and 4-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.51%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (1.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
86.54% | 9.48% | 3.98% |
Both teams to score 40.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.57% | 29.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.47% | 50.53% |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.44% | 4.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.36% | 18.64% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.91% | 57.09% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.91% | 89.09% |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Cagliari |
3-0 @ 12.79% 2-0 @ 12.42% 4-0 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 8.04% 3-1 @ 7.17% 2-1 @ 6.96% 5-0 @ 6.11% 4-1 @ 5.54% 5-1 @ 3.42% 6-0 @ 3.14% 3-2 @ 2.01% 6-1 @ 1.76% 4-2 @ 1.55% 7-0 @ 1.39% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.4% Total : 86.54% | 1-1 @ 4.51% 0-0 @ 2.6% 2-2 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.42% Total : 9.48% | 0-1 @ 1.46% 1-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.26% Total : 3.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |