Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 16

Dec 6, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Sant'Elia

Cagliari
1 - 1
Torino

Pedro (53')
Henrique (18'), Caceres (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Carboni (31' og.)
Pobega (30'), Lukic (34'), Buongiorno (48'), Zima (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Cagliari's position in the table is slightly surprisingly considering that they have two forwards with 11 league goals between them this season. We are expecting the hosts to net a couple more on Monday, but they have conceded too many goals this term, and Torino could net two of their own in an entertaining draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Torino had a probability of 33.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cagliari	Draw	Torino
40.3%	26.32%	33.38%

Both teams to score 52.71%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.07%

51.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.33%

73.66%

Cagliari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.64%

25.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.85%

60.14%

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61%

29.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62%

65.37%

Score Analysis

Cagliari 40.29%

Torino 33.38%

Draw 26.32%

Cagliari	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 3.93% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.41% 4-1 @ 1.35% 4-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.29%	1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 7.45% 2-2 @ 5.26% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.32%	0-1 @ 9.12% 1-2 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.59% 1-3 @ 3.13% 0-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 2.15% 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.38%