Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 14, 2024 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Olimpico

Lazio
1 - 0
Lecce

Anderson (58')
Zaccagni (45'), Guendouzi (77'), Vecino (89'), Immobile (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gendrey (45'), Venuti (75'), Ramadani (81'), Pongracic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Roma
Wednesday, January 10 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

It is no coincidence that Lazio's improved form has arrived after re-finding last season's defensive steel. As Lecce often lack punch - particularly away from home - the home side should earn some revenge for their opening-day defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 58.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.48%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lazio in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lazio.

Result
Lazio	Draw	Lecce
58.27% ( -0.14)	24.87% ( 0.05)	16.85% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 41.26% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.13% (

-0.03)

58.88% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.63% (

-0.02)

79.37% (

0.02)

Lazio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.81% (

-0.07)

20.19% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.5% (

-0.11)

52.5% (

0.11)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.7% (

0.11)

48.3% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.55% (

0.08)

83.45% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Lazio 58.27%

Lecce 16.85%

Draw 24.87%

Lazio	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 15.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 58.27%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 24.87%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 16.85%