Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 40.83%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Lazio |
31.95% ( 0.06) | 27.22% ( 0) | 40.83% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.51% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.19% ( 0.01) | 55.81% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.06% ( 0.01) | 76.93% ( -0.01) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.69% ( 0.05) | 32.31% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.19% ( 0.06) | 68.81% ( -0.06) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.14% ( -0.03) | 26.85% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.83% ( -0.04) | 62.16% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 9.8% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.95% | 1-1 @ 12.88% 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.1% 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.06% Total : 40.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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