Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21

Feb 11, 2024 at 12pm UK

Stade Oceane

Le Havre
0 - 1
Rennes

Toure (36'), Ayew (71')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bourigeaud (60')
Seidu (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Le Havre and Rennes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Le Havre

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Le Havre
Wednesday, February 7 at 7.30pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rennes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Sochaux 1-6 Rennes
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France

Goals
for

Top scorers

After only suffering their first defeat in six games on Wednesday, Le Havre should still be confident of giving an in-form Rennes side a difficult game this weekend. However, seven wins on the spin means Rennes will come into the game as big favourites, and after hitting Sochaux for six in midweek, they are likely to keep that momentum going before facing Milan on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Le Havre had a probability of 21.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.23%) and 1-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Le Havre win it was 1-0 (7.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rennes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Rennes.

Result
Le Havre	Draw	Rennes
21.72% ( -0.46)	24.92% ( -0.16)	53.36% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 48.39% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.6% (

0.13)

53.39% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.07% (

0.11)

74.93% (

-0.11)

Le Havre Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.48% (

-0.39)

39.52% (

0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.79% (

-0.36)

76.21% (

0.36)

Rennes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.01% (

0.3)

19.98% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.83% (

0.48)

52.16% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Le Havre 21.72%

Rennes 53.34%

Draw 24.91%

Le Havre	Draw	Rennes
1-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.39% Total : 21.72%	1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 10.23% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.21% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.34%