Clermont improved dramatically in the second period against Marseille on the weekend, but we doubt whether the division's basement dwellers will be able to carry that momentum into this fixture.
Rennes have been competitive versus Villarreal and solid at Toulouse over the past seven days, so we feel that their winless away run will come to an end at Stade Gabriel Montpied.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 22.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Clermont win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
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